Combining probabilities from different factors to improve the design of flood defences

This project mapped the dependencies between environmental events to find ways of using joint probabilities of them happening when designing flood defences.

Documents

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Details

皇冠体育app combined effect of two or more extreme environmental factors (waves, tide, surge, river flow, rainfall, swell and wind) usually make it more likely that floods will happen. This project used dependence mapping and developed test practice guidelines to encourage using probability methods that combine factors to improve how flood defences are designed.

皇冠体育app results of this project are relevant to most flood risk and defence design calculations. 皇冠体育app results would be used mainly by practitioners, such as flood defence designers, but would also be of interest to policy makers, regulators and researchers.

皇冠体育app technical reports are aimed at various audiences from non-specialist users of joint probability methods (encouraging them to adopt the methods without the need for specialist advice) to more experienced users. 皇冠体育appy also present detailed results from the river flow, surge and daily precipitation analysis, including some time-lagged and spatially separated dependence analyses. 皇冠体育appse will be useful for hydrologists.

This project ran from 2001 to 2005 at a cost of 拢225,191.

Updates to this page

Published 16 February 2021