Influence of electrification pathways in the electricity sector of Ethiopia
Policy implications linking spatial electrification analysis and medium to long-term energy planning
Abstract
This study provides an invaluable perspective on different aspects of Ethiopia鈥檚 energy transition, focusing on achieving universal access and covering the country鈥檚 electricity needs during 2015鈥�2065. We co-developed and investigated three scenarios to examine the policy and technology levels available to the government to meet their national priorities. To conduct this analysis, we soft-linked OnSSET, a modelling tool used for geospatial analysis, with OSeMOSYS, a cost-optimization modelling tool used for medium to long-run energy planning. Our results show that the country needs to diversify its power generation system to achieve universal access and cover its future electricity needs by increasing its overall carbon dioxide emissions and fully exploit hydropower. With the aim of achieving universal access by 2025, the newly electrified population is supplied primarily by the grid (65%), followed by stand-alone (32%) technologies. Similarly, until 2065, most of the electrified people by 2025 will continue to be grid-connected (99%). 皇冠体育app country鈥檚 exports will increase to 17 TWh by 2065, up from 832 GWh in 2015, leading to a cumulative rise in electricity export revenues of 184 billion USD
This research is part of the Energy and Economic Growth Applied Research Programme.
Citation
Pappis, I.; Sahlberg, A.; Walle, T.; Broad, O.; Eludoyin, E.; Howells, M.; Usher, W. Influence of Electrification Pathways in the Electricity Sector of Ethiopia鈥擯olicy Implications Linking Spatial Electrification Analysis and Medium to Long-Term Energy Planning.聽Energies聽2021,聽14, 1209. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14041209